Research Analyst

About the Role

Highly technical price quant/ modelling expert with a strong commercial orientation to support our Trading and Portfolio teams through price market simulation, market intelligence, weather forecast, and all variables that can impact power prices. This role combines deep scientific expertise in price models in Brazil, weather, and climate modelling with hands‑on application to Brazil's power market, deeply and highly knowledge of the price models and all variables that can affect forward prices, decision-ready insights for trading strategy and risk management.

Key Responsibilities

• Deliver daily support to Trading and Portfolio teams through short-, medium-, and long-term weather and climate forecasting.
• Anticipate climate-driven market trends and their potential commercial impact.
• Continuously monitor physical system variables, including ENA (Energia Natural Afluente), reservoir storage levels, and system load.
• Build PLD (Preço de Liquidação das Diferenças) scenarios and run sensitivity analyses using Brazil's official power market models (NEWAVE and DECOMP).
• Assess the commercial impact of alternative climate and hydrological assumptions on energy portfolios and trading strategies.
• Prepare concise, executive-level materials for senior management and the Board.
• Design and refine daily briefing formats for Trading and Portfolio teams to improve alignment and reduce decision-making uncertainty.
• Directly support buy and sell strategies through early identification of adverse climate scenarios.
• Lead automation initiatives to streamline ENA, PLD, and storage assessments, reducing execution time and manual error.
• Contribute to artificial intelligence projects applied to forecasting efficiency and operational robustness in the energy sector.

Required Qualifications

• Bachelor's degree in Mathematics, Physics or Engineering.
• Master's and Ph.D. in Sciences is a plus.
• 6+ years of experience in trading desks running price models and weather/climate modelling.
• 10+ years of experience in the energy industry, ideally in a trading or portfolio-support context.
• Strong working knowledge of NEWAVE and DECOMP models.
• Advanced programming skills in Python, Shell Script, and PowerShell.
• Experience with ensemble analysis and high-performance computing.
• Fluent in English (Spanish is a plus).

Preferred Skills & Attributes

• Proven ability to get changes in the market (weather forecast, regulatory changes, model changes, etc) and translate them in a very fast way into insights to power traders.
• Having a large network capability to monitoring other houses and what they are thinking about the market.
• To take position about trading decision, taking part on the strategy of the desk.
• Proven ability to translate complex technical information into clear, business-relevant insights.
• Track record of building or improving automation workflows for forecasting and market analysis.
• Experience presenting to senior management or Board-level audiences.
• Exposure to AI/machine learning applications in energy forecasting.
• Strong quantitative mindset paired with commercial awareness of market volatility and risk-adjusted trading performance.

At the heart of global supply, Trafigura connects vital resources to power and build the world. Through our Metals and Minerals, Oil & Petroleum Products and Gas, Power and Renewables, commercial divisions, we use infrastructure, logistics and financing to connect producers and consumers, using our deep understanding of the markets we serve to make supply more efficient, secure and sustainable. We are accelerating our investments in renewable energy, including hydrogen, ammonia and other low-carbon energy technologies required for the transition to a low carbon future.

We are committed to responsible business practices and we work with our stakeholders to improve environmental and social standards, bringing greater trust and transparency to global supply chains. A career at Trafigura offers a gateway to working on some of the most exciting challenges of a rapidly changing world – from helping to optimise supply chains to developing infrastructure and new markets. In a culture that is founded on openness and energy, our people work as part of a multinational, globally connected team and thrive in a fast-paced environment where they can nurture and commercialise bold ideas.

Everyone has a voice and is empowered to collaborate across geographies and disciplines to help shape our business and the wider world. We know the importance and value of diversity in our business and we invest in attracting, developing and retaining talent from all backgrounds. Founded in 1993, Trafigura is one of the largest independent employee-owned commodities groups in the world with over 12,000 people working across more than 60 offices.

The Trafigura Group owns global multi-metals producer Nyrstar; fuel storage and distribution company Puma Energy; and joint ventures Impala Terminals, a port and logistics provider, and Nalo Renewables, investing in wind, solar and battery storage projects.

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